{"id":172,"date":"2011-12-23T14:52:58","date_gmt":"2011-12-23T22:52:58","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/facingthesing.wpengine.com\/?p=172"},"modified":"2014-12-06T14:48:37","modified_gmt":"2014-12-06T22:48:37","slug":"plenty-of-room-above-us","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/intelligenceexplosion.com\/sk\/2011\/plenty-of-room-above-us\/","title":{"rendered":"Ve\u013ea miesta nad nami"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><\/p>\n<p><span class=\"dropcap\">P<\/span>re\u010do s\u00fa UI vo filmoch tak \u010dasto pribli\u017ene na \u00farovni pribli\u017ene \u013eudskej <a href=\"http:\/\/facingthesing.wpengine.com\/sk\/2011\/playing-taboo-with-intelligence\/\">inteligencie<\/a>? Jeden z\u00a0d\u00f4vodov je, \u017ee si takmer <em>nikdy<\/em> nedok\u00e1\u017eeme predstavi\u0165 ne-\u013eud\u00ed ako ne-\u013eud\u00ed. <a href=\"http:\/\/wiki.lesswrong.com\/wiki\/Anthropomorphism\">Antropomorfizujeme<\/a>. Preto s\u00fa <a href=\"http:\/\/tvtropes.org\/pmwiki\/pmwiki.php\/Main\/HumanAliens\">mimozem\u0161\u0165ania a roboti v pr\u00edbehoch<\/a> v podstate iba \u013eudia s ve\u013ek\u00fdmi o\u010dami alebo zelenou poko\u017ekou alebo nejak\u00fdm \u0161peci\u00e1lnymi schopnos\u0165ami. \u010eal\u0161\u00edm d\u00f4vodom je, \u017ee spisovate\u013eovi sa \u0165a\u017eko p\u00ed\u0161u postavy, ktor\u00e9 s\u00fa bystrej\u0161ie ne\u017e s\u00e1m spisovate\u013e. Ako <em>presne<\/em> by superinteligentn\u00fd stroj vyrie\u0161il probl\u00e9m X? Nie som dos\u0165 chytr\u00fd na to, aby som to vedel.<\/p>\n<p>\u013dudsk\u00e1 schopnos\u0165 <a href=\"http:\/\/facingthesing.wpengine.com\/2011\/playing-taboo-with-intelligence\/\">efekt\u00edvnej optimaliz\u00e1cie v r\u00f4znych oblastiach<\/a> nie je prirodzenou hranicou inteligencie. Je to \u00fazka, n\u00e1hodn\u00e1, do\u010dasn\u00e1 zna\u010dka vytvoren\u00e1 evol\u00faciou kv\u00f4li veciam ako pomal\u00fd prenos sign\u00e1lov v neur\u00f3noch alebo ve\u013ekos\u0165 lebky, ktor\u00e1 sa e\u0161te zmest\u00ed do p\u00f4rodn\u00e9ho kan\u00e1la prim\u00e1ta. Einstein n\u00e1m m\u00f4\u017ee <em>pripada\u0165<\/em> \u201eohromne\u201c inteligentnej\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e dedinsk\u00fd bl\u00e1zon, ale tento rozdiel je <a href=\"http:\/\/www.wimp.com\/alienhuman\/\">zanedbate\u013en\u00fd<\/a> v porovnan\u00ed s rozdielom medzi dedinsk\u00fdm bl\u00e1znom a my\u0161ou.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-175\" title=\"scale_of_intelligence\" src=\"http:\/\/facingthesing.wpengine.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/12\/scale_of_intelligence.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"650\" height=\"151\" srcset=\"https:\/\/intelligenceexplosion.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/12\/scale_of_intelligence.png 650w, https:\/\/intelligenceexplosion.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/12\/scale_of_intelligence-300x69.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 650px) 100vw, 650px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Ako povedal Vernor Vinge:<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>Najlep\u0161ia odpove\u010f na ot\u00e1zku: \u201eBud\u00fa po\u010d\u00edta\u010de niekedy tak\u00e9 chytr\u00e9 ako \u013eudia?\u201c je pravdepodobne: \u201e\u00c1no, ale iba nakr\u00e1tko.\u201c<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Ako by mohla UI prekona\u0165 \u013eudsk\u00e9 schopnosti? Po\u010fme si to vymenova\u0165&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><em>R\u00fdchlos\u0165<\/em>. Na\u0161e axony pren\u00e1\u0161aj\u00fa sign\u00e1l r\u00fdchlos\u0165ou 75 metrov za sekundu alebo pomal\u0161ie. Stroj dok\u00e1\u017ee pren\u00e1\u0161a\u0165 sign\u00e1ly asi 4-mili\u00f3ny-kr\u00e1t r\u00fdchlej\u0161ie.<\/p>\n<p><em>S\u00e9riov\u00e1 h\u013abka<\/em>. \u013dudsk\u00fd mozog nedok\u00e1\u017ee <a href=\"http:\/\/csjarchive.cogsci.rpi.edu\/1982v06\/i03\/p0205p0254\/MAIN.PDF\">r\u00fdchlo spracova\u0165<\/a> \u017eiaden v\u00fdpo\u010det, ktor\u00fd vy\u017eaduje viac ne\u017e 100 nadv\u00e4zuj\u00facich krokov; preto je z\u00e1visl\u00fd na mas\u00edvnych paraleln\u00fdch v\u00fdpo\u010dtoch. Vyu\u017eit\u00edm aj paraleln\u00fdch aj hlbok\u00fdch s\u00e9riov\u00fdch v\u00fdpo\u010dtov by sa dalo urobi\u0165 viac.<\/p>\n<p><em>V\u00fdpo\u010dtov\u00e9 zdroje<\/em>. Ve\u013ekos\u0165 mozgu a po\u010det neur\u00f3nov s\u00fa obmedzen\u00e9 ve\u013ekos\u0165ou lebky, metabolizmom, a \u010fal\u0161\u00edmi faktormi. UI m\u00f4\u017ee by\u0165 postaven\u00e1 vo ve\u013ekosti budovy, mesta, alebo v\u00e4\u010d\u0161ej. Ke\u010f nebudeme vedie\u0165 vyr\u00e1ba\u0165 men\u0161ie integrovan\u00e9 obvody, m\u00f4\u017eeme ich jednoducho vyrobi\u0165 viac.<\/p>\n<p><em>Rozumnos\u0165<\/em>. Ako sme sk\u00famali predt\u00fdm, \u013eudsk\u00fd mozog <a href=\"http:\/\/facingthesing.wpengine.com\/2011\/the-crazy-robots-rebellion\/\">nedok\u00e1\u017ee<\/a> optim\u00e1lne vytv\u00e1ra\u0165 presved\u010denia ani dosahova\u0165 ciele. Stroj mo\u017eno postavi\u0165 od z\u00e1kladu pomocou (v\u00fdpo\u010dtov\u00fdch aproxim\u00e1ci\u00ed) bayesovsk\u00fdch rozhodovac\u00edch siet\u00ed, \u010do je <a href=\"http:\/\/www.amazon.com\/Artificial-Intelligence-Modern-Approach-3rd\/dp\/0136042597\/\">hlavn\u00e1 paradigma<\/a> pri n\u00e1vrhu umel\u00fdch agentov.<\/p>\n<p><em>Dostupnos\u0165 introspekcie \/ upravovate\u013enos\u0165<\/em>. My \u013eudia nem\u00e1me takmer \u017eiaden introspekt\u00edvny pr\u00edstup ku svojim kognit\u00edvnym algoritmom, a nem\u00f4\u017eeme ich \u013eahko upravova\u0165 a zdokona\u013eova\u0165. Stroje to u\u017e dok\u00e1\u017eu (vi\u010f <a href=\"http:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Eurisko\">Eurisko<\/a> a <a href=\"http:\/\/www.amazon.com\/Metaheuristics-Implementation-Parallel-Distributed-Computing\/dp\/0470278587\/\">metaheuristiky<\/a>). Obmedzen\u00e9 triky ako napr\u00edklad <a href=\"http:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Method_of_loci\">pam\u00e4\u0165ov\u00fd pal\u00e1c<\/a> v\u00fdrazne zvy\u0161uj\u00fa \u013eudsk\u00fa pam\u00e4\u0165; stroj m\u00f4\u017ee tak\u00e9to veci robi\u0165 po tuctoch.<\/p>\n<p>A toto je iba \u010diasto\u010dn\u00fd zoznam. Zamyslite sa, ako v\u00fdrazne stroje prekonali na\u0161e schopnosti v\u00a0aritmetike, alebo ako v\u00fdrazne prekonaj\u00fa na\u0161e schopnosti v <a href=\"http:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Computer_chess\">\u0161achu<\/a> \u010di <a href=\"http:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Google_driverless_car\">jazden\u00ed<\/a> za \u010fal\u0161\u00edch 20 rokov. Neexistuje principi\u00e1lny d\u00f4vod, pre\u010do by stroje nemohli prekona\u0165 na\u0161e schopnosti v n\u00e1vrhu technol\u00f3gie alebo v\u0161eobecnom rozm\u00fd\u0161\u013ean\u00ed rovnak\u00fdm rozdielom. \u00darove\u0148 \u010dloveka je len malou zast\u00e1vkou na ceste k najvy\u0161\u0161ej \u00farovne <a href=\"http:\/\/facingthesing.wpengine.com\/sk\/2011\/playing-taboo-with-intelligence\/\">inteligencie<\/a> umo\u017enenej fyzikou, a nad nami je e\u0161te ve\u013ea miesta.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>re\u010do s\u00fa UI vo filmoch tak \u010dasto pribli\u017ene na \u00farovni pribli\u017ene \u013eudskej inteligencie? Jeden z\u00a0d\u00f4vodov je, \u017ee si takmer nikdy nedok\u00e1\u017eeme predstavi\u0165 ne-\u013eud\u00ed ako ne-\u013eud\u00ed. Antropomorfizujeme. Preto s\u00fa mimozem\u0161\u0165ania a roboti v pr\u00edbehoch v podstate iba \u013eudia s ve\u013ek\u00fdmi o\u010dami&hellip;  <a href=\"https:\/\/intelligenceexplosion.com\/sk\/2011\/plenty-of-room-above-us\/\">continue reading<\/a> &raquo;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-172","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-chapter"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/intelligenceexplosion.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/172","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/intelligenceexplosion.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/intelligenceexplosion.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/intelligenceexplosion.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/intelligenceexplosion.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=172"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/intelligenceexplosion.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/172\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/intelligenceexplosion.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=172"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/intelligenceexplosion.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=172"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/intelligenceexplosion.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=172"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}